Estimating NCAA Football Coaches’ Abilities An Application of Item Response Theory

Background Began after Tim Brewster was fired at the University of Minnesota. Now they have a new coach again! Wanted to try to predict next great coach. Proceeded to explore data available to answer this question. Data Data came from a few sources: http://www.cfbdatawarehouse.com/ Wikipedia Goals Predict the ‘ability’ of the coaches. Find other variables that explain variation in the ‘ability’ of the coaches.

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Web Scraping to Item Response Theory - A College Football Adventure

Background Began after Tim Brewster was fired Wanted to try to predict next great coach Data Available Data is available at three levels Coach Game by Game Team Coach Data Overall record Team history Not Available Coordinator history Example Coach Data ## Year Team Win Loss Tie Pct PF PA Delta coach ## 1 2010 Iowa 8 5 0 0.

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